A steadily climbing signup count feels like progress, and in the earliest stage of a product, it often measures something closer to curiosity than actual value delivered. Teams that treat this number as evidence of fit tend to be surprised, later, when it fails to translate into retention, revenue, or genuine advocacy.
Ikiru
Finding product-market fit
8 partsBuilding a founding team that works
5 partsRunning a startup, day to day
3 partsThe oversights that compound
3 partsWhy most early metrics measure the wrong thing
Signups and downloads feel like progress and often say very little about whether a product is actually solving anyone’s problem yet.
The invoice nobody remembered to send
Cash flow problems at small companies often trace back to something this mundane: an invoice that simply never got sent on time, or at all.
A surprising share of small company cash flow crises trace back not to a dramatic business failure but to something almost embarrassingly mundane: an invoice that never went out on time, or went out and was never followed up on, sitting unpaid for months while everyone assumed the money was simply on its way.
Talking to users before you have anything to show them
Founders often wait for a prototype before talking to potential users. Some of the most useful conversations happen earlier, with nothing to show at all.
Most founders wait until they have a prototype, or at least a clickable mockup, before talking to potential users, reasoning that a conversation without something concrete to react to will not produce useful information. Some of the most valuable early conversations happen before any of that exists, with nothing to show at all.
What a conversation with nothing to show actually reveals
Without a product to react to, a conversation has nowhere to go except toward the problem itself — how someone currently handles the situation a founder hopes to improve, what they have already tried, what specifically frustrates them about the current options. This kind of conversation, uncontaminated by a specific proposed solution, tends to surface the actual shape of a problem more honestly than a conversation anchored around reacting to a mockup, where people tend to react to the mockup’s specific choices rather than the underlying need.
Product-market fit is a moving target, not a finish line
Founders talk about product-market fit as a milestone to cross once. In practice, it behaves more like a condition that has to be maintained, not achieved.
Product-market fit gets talked about, in most founder advice, as a milestone — a specific point a company crosses and then moves past, checked off on the way to the next stage of building a business. Founders who have actually lived through it tend to describe something different: a condition that has to be actively maintained, because the market it was fit to rarely stays still for long.
Hiring the first ten employees changes the company forever
The first ten hires set norms that persist long after those specific people have moved on, whether or not founders are deliberate about shaping them.
The co-founder breakup nobody saw coming
Co-founder splits often look sudden from the outside. Nearly all of them were visible, in hindsight, for months before anyone acted on the warning signs.
Splitting equity fairly is harder than it sounds on paper
An equal equity split feels like the fair, conflict-avoiding choice at the start. It can quietly become a source of resentment once contributions diverge.